Around The World Voyage : Commentary : Leg 4

June 1, 2002

Dear Dan, Kevin and Mike:

Saturday night - 10:30...

A tropical disturbance summary has been issued for an area of covection which we will want to watch very carefully.

I'll check this again in the morning.

Regards,

Jim

ABPE10 PHNC 020030
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE EASTERN NORTH
PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/020030Z/030000Z JUN 02//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/011530Z JUN 02//
AMPN /REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (NORTH OF THE EQUATOR AND 180 TO WEST
COAST OF NORTH AMERICA):
     A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
          (1) AT 011200Z4, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (ALMA) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 17.8N6 115.7W4, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM WEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND
AND HAS REMAINED STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31
PHNC 011600) FOR THE FINAL WARNING.
           (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
     B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
           (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 11.0N2 105.0W6,
450 NM SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS INDICATES A
WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN AN ELONGATED TROUGH. 200 MB
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS MOVING WESTWARD INTO
STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
          (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD PARA 1.A.(1)
FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/DANIEL/JACOBS/SHERRY//

 

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