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June 8, 2002

Dear Joe: There is weather brewing in your area and we want you to pull into port ASAP. The closest one to you should be Manzanillo. It's 5:10 pm Saturday the 8th West Coast time. Here's the statement which came out at 1800 utc today - local time plus 8 hours - it would have been 10:00 am this morning.

WTPN31 PHNC 082200 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE
TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPACMAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE
AVERAGE---WARNING POSITION:081800Z7 --- NEAR 16.4N1 102.9W2MOVEMENT PAST SIX
HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTSPOSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NMPOSITION
BASED
ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITEPRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:MAX SUSTAINED
WINDS -
030 KT, GUSTS 040 KTREPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 102.9W2---FORECASTS:12 HRS, VALID
AT:090600Z5 --- 17.0N8 104.0W5MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045
KTRADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05
KTS---24
HRS, VALID AT:091800Z8 --- 17.6N4 104.8W3MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS
050 KTRADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06
KTS---36 HRS, VALID AT:100600Z7 --- 18.3N2 105.8W4MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045
KT, GUSTS 055 KTRADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305
DEG/ 06 KTS

---EXTENDED OUTLOOK:48 HRS, VALID AT:101800Z0 --- 19.0N0
106.8W5MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KTRADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS -
060
NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS---72 HRS, VALID AT:111800Z1 ---
19.5N5 108.5W4MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KTRADIUS OF 035 KT
WINDS - 050 NM ---REMARKS:TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02E, LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY
84 NM SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO. PRESENT MOVEMENT NORTHWEST AT 06 KTS
OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081800Z7 INFRARED
AND
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
081800Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090400Z3, 091000Z0, 091600Z6 AND
092200Z3.//NNNN

 

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